The April 2012 release of Vector Strategy's US Military Ground Vehicle and Armor Procurement Forecast is ready for immediate purchase and electronic delivery!
This forecast release presents vehicle and armor procurement for 3 scenario's:
- Scenario A represents the FY13 budget and its Future Year Defense Plan (FYDP) as requested by the US Army and the USMC in February 2012.
- Scenario B represents the FY13 Budget FYDP with reasonable upsides added back into the forecast to keep vehicle production lines warm, specifically in FY13 to FY16.
- Scenario C addresses the consequences of additional DoD funding cuts beyond those already outlined in the DoD’s FY13 outlook of future funding; such as those that may be mandated in an altered Budget Control Act or other budget legislation that further addresses the national debt crisis.
US Military Ground Vehicle and Armor Procurement Forecast is the most thorough and accurate projection of US military ground vehicle and armor procurement publicly available.
This forecast reports the value of DoD armor procurement for military ground vehicles in millions of dollars and provides vehicle and / or kit counts. It includes a procurement forecast for all tracked and wheeled US military ground vehicle armor programs.
Download a brochure and order form today or call our office at 910-585-6228 to purchase your copy!
The April 2012 release incorporates the following:
- DoD FY12 budget Congressional action, continuing resolutions, and reprogramming requests approved by Congress through April 2012.
- DoD FY13 base and OCO budget requests released to the public in February 2012.
- Input from NDIA's Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Conference and the Winter AUSA Meeting in February 2012.
- Military Program Office updates presented at the IDGA Military Armor Protection Conference in February 2012.
- All vehicle and armor awards through April 2012.
Download the table of contents and sample pages here.
Companies interested in purchasing the forecast can review our report brochure and fax us a completed order form or call us at 910-585-6228.
Conclusions from Vector's April 2012 US Military Ground Vehicle and Armor Procurement Forecast:
- The DOD has cut their vehicle procurement outlook for FY14 to FY20 by an average of $2.2 billion annually when one compares what they were outlining last year to what they are indicating in their FY13 budget request and in their current program modernization plans.
- US military ground vehicle procurement in FY13 contracts 39% from FY12 levels.
- FY14 represents the lowest year of US military ground vehicle procurement over the entire forecast horizon.
- After a procurement decline of 39% in FY13, the market will experience another decline of 44% in FY14.
- The best hypothesis for FY13 to FY20 vehicle procurement funding is a blend of Scenario B and Scenario C. Congress provides funding to keep production lines warm in FY13 to FY16 (Scenario B). Then, in FY17 to FY20, additional budget cuts kick in to address the national debt crisis. (Scenario C).
- The outcome of NIE 12.2 will be especially critical to both the AMPV and the GCV programs.
- US Army leadership has conservatively indicated that future TWV Approved Acquisition Objectives (AAO's) could fall 30% from TWV FY12 AAO's.
- Although most national news services are devoted to coverage of the 2012 Presidential race and election, the 2012 US Senate elections are likely more influential on how the US will address the national deficit crisis in the future.
Purchase this report to quantify vehicle and armor procurement for FY12 to FY20.
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Questions Answered in This Report:
- What will vehicle and armor procurement look like if more severe DoD budget cuts are enacted (more than already outlined in the DoD's FY13 budget request)?
- If Congress decides to provide funding to support production lines in FY13 to FY15, what vehicle programs are most likely to receive that funding?
- How much is the US Army and the USMC investing in JLTV RDT&E and procurement funding through FY20?
- What is the production ramp-up schedule for the Ground Combat Vehicle, JLTV, ACV, and the MPC?
- How strong will the recap programs for HEMTT and PLS be in FY13 to FY20?
- How many Strykers, Abrams Upgrades, and AMPVs will be procured annually through FY20?
- What is the outlook for armor B-Kits through FY20?
This forecast is an analysis of US military ground vehicle and armor procurement for FY05 to FY20.
- Combat wheeled and tracked vehicles, as well as all tactical vehicles are addressed in this report.
- Vehicle requirements from all US military departments and defense agencies are included.
- RDT&E funding is presented for all major new vehicle and upgrade programs.
- Report contains approximately 140 pages of information and 150 figures and tables.
Ground Vehicles and Armor Programs Addressed in This Report:
- All variants of the HMMVW and related armor kits, including requirements from the US Army, USMC, Air Force, and other US procurement agencies
- Up-Armored HMMWV Recapitalization Programs
- US Army HMMWV Enhanced Powertrain Improvement Program
- USMC HMMWV Sustainment Modifications
- Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV)
- Ground Mobility Vehicle (GMC) - USSOCOM
- MRAP and MATV (new vehicles, recaps, conversions, and upgrades)
- The Mine Protected Vehicle Family (MPVF)
- Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles (FMTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs
- The Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Protection Kit Program
- USMC Medium Tactical Vehicle Replacement (MTVR) and Logistics Vehicle System Replacement (LVSR)
- Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles (FHTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs, including HEMTT, PLS, and HET
- Armored Security Vehicles
- Bradley Fighting Vehicles (A3 Upgrades, Field Upgrades, ECP 1, and ECP 2)
- Stryker Vehicles (new builds, SLAT, SRAT, Double V Hulls)
- Stryker Modernization Program and ECPs
- Armored Multi Purpose Vehicle (AMPV - The M113 Replacement)
- Paladin
- Abrams Tank (Upgrades, Modifications, and ECP 1)
- Light Armored Vehicle (LAV-A2, LAV-25, Survivability III)
- Ground Combat Vehicles (GCV)
- Assault Amphibious Vehicle (AAV) Upgrade
- Marine Personnel Carrier (MPC)
- Amphibious Combat Vehicle (ACV)
The report's appendix contains a procurement schedule for each vehicle and armor program. Procurement quantities and funding from 2005 to 2020 is presented in these schedules, as well as assumptions and budget details.
See our report brochure or table of contents for more details.
Report Format
The report is provided in an electronic format (PDF) with full text commentary and is emailed to clients. All data tables will be provided in the PDF document.
Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format).
OR
Download the report's table of contents and list of figures/tables (PDF format).
Methodology
Vector Strategy analyzes DoD, Army, Navy, USMC, and Air Force fiscal year regular and supplemental budget requests, as well as congressional actions and budget releases throughout the year.
We also gather military program office communication regarding specific armor programs during conferences, in press releases and industry publications, as well as track congressional testimony regarding vehicle and armor programs.
We monitor contract awards, access contract documents, and adjust our procurement forecast based on actual contract quantities and contract costs.
Finally, we review vehicle and armor build rates of manufacturers to determine current production volumes to validate our estimate of current market size and estimate backlog and lead times.
Delivery and Price
This forecast is published at least once a year. Additional releases may be published as warranted by Congressional and budget events. Actual publication dates are dependent on DoD budget release dates and Congressional action at fiscal year end.
The following publication schedule has been met:
April 2007: First publication completed.
July 2007: Second release completed.
December 2007: Third release completed.
April 2008: Fourth release completed.
August 2008: Fifth release completed.
April 2009: Sixth release completed.
September 2009: Seventh release completed.
January 2010: Eighth release completed.
March 2010: Ninth release completed.
September 2010: Tenth release completed.
May 2011: Eleventh release completed.
April 2012: Twelfth release completed.
A single release of this forecast can be purchased for $3,495 for a single site license and the price of an enterprise wide license is $5,245. A military / government discount of 15% is offered.
Payment must be provided in full before the report will be shipped to purchasers. Credit cards are preferred, although Electronic Fund Transfers (EFTs) and wire transfers are also accepted. Please contact our office at 910-585-6228 for more information or complete and fax back the order form on the last page of the report brochure.
Please call or email us to initiate an order.
Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format)
OR
Download the report's table of contents and list of figures/tables (PDF format). |
