Vector Strategy Market Intelligence for the Armor Industry

Armor Procurement Forecast For US Military Vehicles

 

The March 2010 release of Vector Strategy's Armor Procurement Forecast for US Military Ground Vehicles will be ready for purchase and delivery by the end of March.

The March 2010 release will incorporate the following: 

  • DoD, US Army, USMC, US Navy, and USAF budget documents describing procurement and RDT&E funding for FY11 through FY15 released on February 1, 2010.
  • US Army Program Management presentations and trends from NDIA's Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Conference in early February 2010 and AUSA's Winter Symposium in late February.

Download the table of contents and sample pages from the forecast here.

Companies interested in purchasing the forecast can review our report brochure and fax us a completed order form or call us at 910-420-2208.

 

Comments on Vector's January 2010 Armor Procurement Forecast for US Military Ground Vehicles:

The questions facing us in this forecast are:

  • How many ground vehicles and related armor will be procured to support our military’s expanding role in Afghanistan? What type of vehicles and armor will be procured?
  • How quickly can the military (and industry) develop modernization and upgrade programs for ground vehicles currently in the fleet?

The answers to both of these questions will affect the size of the armor market from FY10 to FY15.

The current Administration has already stated that they will be requesting additional OCO funding for FY10 and will make a substantial OCO request for FY11.

Will a higher percentage of that funding be expended on rotary aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, ISR equipment, and aerial transportation of supplies for the Afghanistan theater as compared to the Iraqi theater? We believe so.

In addition, can the US Army’s Program Managers for current fleet vehicles, along with the vehicle OEMs, develop modernization and upgrade programs, or incremental improvements which can be spiraled into the current force, with high enough technology readiness levels to be incorporated into in-service or new vehicle production before FY15?

A significant market for armor will not be generated before FY15 unless these modernization programs and incremental spiral improvements are successfully developed.

Purchase this report now to quantify approved funding for the 2010 armor procurement budget.

 

Questions Answered in This Report:

  • What mix of light tactical vehicle platforms will be procured in FY12-15? Does the mix include the ECV2 or an upgraded HMMWV?
  • What level of MATV procurement will occur in FY10?
  • How will the Ground Combat Vehicles (GCV) program affect combat vehicle and armor procurement in FY12 to FY15?
  • How strong will the recap programs for HEMTT and PLS be in FY13, how will those programs affect new vehicle procurement, and is that even relevant to armor manufacturers?
  • How many LTAS B Kits are projected to be procured in FY10, FY11, and FY12?
  • How does the US Army's new Brigade Combat Team Modernization strategy affect vehicle and armor procurement needs?

This forecast is an analysis of US military ground vehicle armor procurement for FY05 to FY15.

  • Combat wheeled and tracked vehicles, as well as all tactical vehicles are addressed in this report.
  • Vehicle requirements from all US military departments and defense agencies are included.
  • The forecast also provides full descriptions of vehicle armor programs, including history of the vehicle / armor program and planned upgrades.
  • Publicly available armor design elements and related contractors and suppliers are also provided.

 

Ground Vehicle Armor Programs Addressed in This Report:

  • All variants of the HMMVW and related armor kits, including requirements from the US Army, USMC, Air Force, and other US procurement agencies.
  • MRAP and MATV
  • Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles (FMTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs
  • USMC Medium Tactical Vehicle Replacement (MTVR) and Logistics Vehicle System Replacement (LVSR)
  • Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles (FHTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs, also including HEMTT, PLS, HET, fuel tanker and construction equipment armor kits.
  • Armored Security Vehicles
  • Bradley Fighting Vehicles (upgrades, BRAT)
  • Stryker Vehicles (new builds, SLAT, SRAT)
  • M113 Armored Personnel Carrier Family of Vehicles
  • Abrams Tank (upgrades, ARAT, TUSK)
  • Light Armored Vehicle (LAV-A2, LAV-25, LAV PIP / SLEP)
  • Ground Combat Vehicles (GCV)
  • Joint Light Tactical Vehicles (JLTV)
  • Marine Personnel Carrier (MPC)
  • See our report brochure or sample pages for a complete list of vehicles and armor programs covered in this forecast.

 

Report Format

The report is provided in an electronic format (PDF) with full text commentary and is emailed to clients. All data tables will be provided in the PDF document.

Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format).

OR

Download sample pages to preview the report (PDF format).

 

 

Methodology

Vector Strategy analyzes DoD, Army, Navy, USMC, and Air Force fiscal year regular and supplemental budget requests, as well as congressional actions and budget releases throughout the year.

We also gather military program office communication regarding specific armor programs during conferences, in press releases and industry publications, as well as track congressional testimony regarding vehicle and armor programs.

We monitor contract awards, access contract documents, and adjust our procurement forecast based on actual contract quantities and contract costs.

Finally, we review vehicle and armor build rates of manufacturers to determine current production volumes to validate our estimate of current market size and estimate backlog and lead times.

 

Delivery and Price

This forecast is published approximately three times a year as warranted by Congressional and budget events:

  • An April publication which will reflect base and supplemental budget requests submitted by the DoD.
  • A publication will be released mid year that updates the forecast with program office communications, strategy changes, awarded contracts, and any supplemental / OCO funding requests.
  • A publication will be released at the end of the year after the Congressional Conference Report on the DoD Appropriations Act and the DoD Authorization Act is signed or released to the public in the fourth quarter of each calendar year.

The following publication schedule has been met or is planned:

April 2007: First publication completed.
July 2007: Second release completed.
December 2007: Third release completed.
April 2008: Fourth release completed.
August 2008: Fifth release completed.
April 2009: Sixth release completed.
September 2009: Seventh release completed.
January 2010: Eighth release completed.
March 2010: Planned.
Summer 2010: Planned.
December 2010: Planned.

Vector Strategy may offer additional releases if industry events warrant an update. Actual publication dates are dependent on DoD budget release dates and Congressional action at year end.

A single release of this forecast may be purchased for $2,995 for a single site license and $4,495 for an enterprise wide license. Clients who purchase consecutive releases, without skipping any releases, will receive a 20% discount on their purchase. A military / government discount of 15% is offered.

Payment must be provided in full before the report will be shipped to purchasers. Credit cards are preferred, although company checks and EFT are also accepted. Please contact our office at 910-420-2208 for more information or complete and fax back the order form on the last page of the report brochure.

Please call or email us to initiate an order.

Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format)

OR

Download sample pages to preview the report (PDF format).

Quick Links

January 2010 Armor Procurement Forecast for US Military Ground Vehicles is ready for immediate purchase and delivery.
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Schedule a webcast today to learn more about trends in the US Military Vehicle Armor Industry.
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Vector published a groundbreaking report on the US Military Body Armor Industry in August 2009. Discounted price on the 2009 report is now available.
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