The March 2010 release of Vector Strategy's Armor Procurement Forecast for US Military Ground Vehicles is ready for immediate purchase and delivery.
This forecast is the most thorough and accurate projection of US military ground vehicle and armor procurement publicly available.
Understand how the Up Armored HMMWV Recap Program is likely to unfold, when the Stryker Hull Survivability Improvement may be incorporated, and how the US Army and USMC plan on rolling out the JLTV program.
The March 2010 release incorporates the following:
- DoD, US Army, USMC, US Navy, and USAF budget documents describing procurement and RDT&E funding for FY11 through FY15 released on February 1, 2010.
- US Army Program Management presentations and trends from NDIA's Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Conference in early February 2010 and AUSA's Winter Symposium in late February.
Download the table of contents and sample pages from the forecast here.
Companies interested in purchasing the forecast can review our report brochure and fax us a completed order form or call us at 910-420-2208.
Comments on Vector's March 2010 Armor Procurement Forecast for US Military Ground Vehicles:
Conservatism prevails within our March 2010 forecast.
After reviewing the FY11 budget documents that were released in February 2010 and listening to high ranking US Army officers speak at the Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Conference in Monterey, we feel compelled to be conservative in our forecast for US military ground vehicle armor over the next five years.
There are many reasons for our conservatism:
- An excess of tactical wheeled vehicle inventory due to over-procurement for modularity and ARFORGEN needs.
- Declining OCO and supplemental war funding as deployed troop levels decline in Iraq and Afghanistan.
- A lower percentage of FY10 and FY11 OCO and supplemental war funding is directed at procurement funding (more addresses personnel and O&M accounts).
- A suspension in armor B-kit procurement for tactical vehicles.
- Overall National budget pressures will squeeze DoD procurement funding.
- A shift from new vehicle procurement to recapitalizations, extended service programs, and vehicle upgrades.
- A lull in procurement as we wait for several recapitalization and modernization programs to emerge from Milestone C.
- A longer lull as we wait for several new vehicle platforms to reach low rate initial procurement (LRIP).
Purchase this report now to quantify armor procurement and vehicle procurement for FY11 to FY15.
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Questions Answered in This Report:
- How many Up Armored HMMWV (UAH) Recaps will be procured over the next 5 years? How will the US Army balance their acquisition of UAH Recaps and new JLTVs?
- How much is the US Army and the USMC investing in JLTV RDT&E and procurement funding through FY15?
- Does the DoD have enough MRAPs and MATVs for Afghanistan?
- What is the production rampup schedule for the Ground Combat Vehicle, JLTV, EFV, and the MPC?
- How strong will the recap programs for HEMTT and PLS be in FY11 to FY15, how will those programs affect new vehicle procurement, and is that even relevant to armor manufacturers?
- How much armor procurement and survivibility enhancements will be generated by the Abrams M1A3 upgrade program, the Bradley A3 Block 2 program, and the Stryker A1 Modernization program over the next five years?
This forecast is an analysis of US military ground vehicle armor procurement for FY05 to FY15.
- Combat wheeled and tracked vehicles, as well as all tactical vehicles are addressed in this report.
- Vehicle requirements from all US military departments and defense agencies are included.
- RDT&E funding is presented for all major new vehicle and upgrade programs.
Ground Vehicle Armor Programs Addressed in This Report:
- All variants of the HMMVW and related armor kits, including requirements from the US Army, USMC, Air Force, and other US procurement agencies.
- Up Armored HMMWV Recapitalization Program
- MRAP and MATV
- The Mine Protected Vehicle Family (MPVF)
- Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles (FMTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs
- USMC Medium Tactical Vehicle Replacement (MTVR) and Logistics Vehicle System Replacement (LVSR)
- Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles (FHTV) - Truck armor and armored cabs, including HEMTT, PLS, and HET.
- Armored Security Vehicles
- Bradley Fighting Vehicles (including the A3 Block 2 upgrade, BRAT, BUSK)
- Stryker Vehicles (new builds, SLAT, SRAT)
- Stryker Modernization Program
- M113 Armored Personnel Carrier Family of Vehicles
- Abrams Tank (including the M1A3 upgrade, ARAT, TUSK)
- Light Armored Vehicle (LAV-A2, LAV-25, LAV PIP / SLEP)
- Ground Combat Vehicles (GCV)
- Joint Light Tactical Vehicles (JLTV)
- Marine Personnel Carrier (MPC)
- Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle (EFV)
- See our report brochure or sample pages for a complete list of vehicles and armor programs covered in this forecast.
Report Format
The report is provided in an electronic format (PDF) with full text commentary and is emailed to clients. All data tables will be provided in the PDF document.
Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format).
OR
Download sample pages to preview the report (PDF format).
Methodology
Vector Strategy analyzes DoD, Army, Navy, USMC, and Air Force fiscal year regular and supplemental budget requests, as well as congressional actions and budget releases throughout the year.
We also gather military program office communication regarding specific armor programs during conferences, in press releases and industry publications, as well as track congressional testimony regarding vehicle and armor programs.
We monitor contract awards, access contract documents, and adjust our procurement forecast based on actual contract quantities and contract costs.
Finally, we review vehicle and armor build rates of manufacturers to determine current production volumes to validate our estimate of current market size and estimate backlog and lead times.
Delivery and Price
This forecast is published approximately three times a year as warranted by Congressional and budget events:
- An spring publication which reflects base and supplemental budget requests submitted by the DoD in early February.
- A publication will be released mid year that updates the forecast with program office communications, strategy changes, awarded contracts, and any supplemental / OCO funding requests.
- A publication will be released at the end of the year after the Congressional Conference Report on the DoD Appropriations Act and the DoD Authorization Act is signed or released to the public in the fourth quarter of each calendar year.
The following publication schedule has been met or is planned:
April 2007: First publication completed.
July 2007: Second release completed.
December 2007: Third release completed.
April 2008: Fourth release completed.
August 2008: Fifth release completed.
April 2009: Sixth release completed.
September 2009: Seventh release completed.
January 2010: Eighth release completed.
March 2010: Ninth release completed.
Summer 2010: Planned.
December 2010: Planned.
Vector Strategy may offer additional releases if industry events warrant an update. Actual publication dates are dependent on DoD budget release dates and Congressional action at year end.
A single release of this forecast may be purchased for $2,995 for a single site license and $4,495 for an enterprise wide license. Clients who purchase consecutive releases, without skipping any releases, will receive a 20% discount on their purchase. A military / government discount of 15% is offered.
Payment must be provided in full before the report will be shipped to purchasers. Credit cards are preferred, although company checks and EFT are also accepted. Please contact our office at 910-420-2208 for more information or complete and fax back the order form on the last page of the report brochure.
Please call or email us to initiate an order.
Download a report brochure and order form (PDF format)
OR
Download sample pages to preview the report (PDF format). |
